Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
BDF
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
5 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 4
SPO
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |