Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |