Brasília vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
TAG
11%
17%
72%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
CEI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
TAG
14%
18%
68%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 2
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |