Brasília vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
BDF
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
5 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 4
SPO
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
GAM
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 0
BRA
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
3 - 0
BRA
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |