Brasília vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 1
CAX
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 3
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
REM
2 - 0
BRA
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GOI
4 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
27%
25%
49%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
23%
29%
48%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
COT
0 - 2
POR
52%
27%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
POR
0 - 0
AME
80%
13%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
POR
6 - 0
FAS
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
REM
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |