Brasil U21 vs Japón U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 3
BRA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 0
SWE
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -9 |
Matches
Japón U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 1
CHI
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ENG
1 - 2
JPN
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 0
TOG
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
JPN
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
CRC
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |