Brazil U23s vs Perú Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
27%
23%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 3
JAP
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
4 - 1
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Perú Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
19%
19%
62%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
23%
20%
57%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |