Torneo Preolímpico Sudamericano Grupo B. Jor. 5

Brazil U23s vs Paraguay U23s analysis

Brazil U23s Paraguay U23s
77 ELO 59
2.7% Tilt -2.6%
477º General ELO ranking 2282º
33º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
71.9%
Brazil U23s
17.4%
Draw
10.7%
Paraguay U23s

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
Brazil U23s
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
Paraguay U23s
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brazil U23s
+49%
+7%
Paraguay U23s

ELO progression

Brazil U23s
Paraguay U23s
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brazil U23s
Brazil U23s
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2020
BRA
Brazil U23s
5 - 3
Bolivia Sub 23
BOL
79%
15%
7%
77 53 24 0
23 Jan. 2020
BRA
Brazil U23s
3 - 1
Uruguay U23s
URY
74%
17%
10%
77 57 20 0
20 Jan. 2020
BRA
Brazil U23s
1 - 0
Perú Sub 23
PER
78%
15%
8%
76 53 23 +1
17 Nov. 2019
ARG
Argentina U23s
1 - 0
Brazil U23s
BRA
30%
24%
46%
77 65 12 -1
14 Nov. 2019
BRA
Brazil U23s
1 - 0
USA U23s
USA
81%
13%
6%
76 58 18 +1

Matches

Paraguay U23s
Paraguay U23s
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2020
PRY
Paraguay U23s
2 - 3
Perú Sub 23
PER
59%
22%
19%
60 53 7 0
23 Jan. 2020
PRY
Paraguay U23s
2 - 0
Bolivia Sub 23
BOL
57%
22%
21%
59 53 6 +1
20 Jan. 2020
URY
Uruguay U23s
1 - 0
Paraguay U23s
PRY
34%
25%
41%
60 56 4 -1
08 Jan. 2020
ARG
Argentina U23s
1 - 1
Paraguay U23s
PRY
52%
22%
26%
59 66 7 +1
21 Dec. 2019
PRY
Paraguay U23s
2 - 2
Colombia U23s
COL
35%
23%
42%
59 61 2 0
X