Brazil U20s vs Saudi Arabia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAN
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
EGY
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
URY
0 - 6
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 2
NGA
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
SAU
6 - 0
GTM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
HRV
0 - 2
SAU
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 1
CMR
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
SAU
0 - 0
CIV
57%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |