Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 1-2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
29%
31%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AIM
1 - 1
BRA
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
CRA
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 0
OPE
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |