Brasil de Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
AIM
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
3 - 0
BRA
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 3
UHA
82%
14%
5%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 1
AIM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAX
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
14%
24%
62%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
CAX
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
ARN
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |