noscript image

Brazilian Serie A. Segunda Fase Group M, Matchday 3

Brasil de Pelotas vs Portuguesa analysis

Brasil de Pelotas Portuguesa
70 ELO 71
9% Tilt -27%
3027º General ELO ranking 2782º
191º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Brasil de Pelotas
25.4%
Draw
17.4%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Brasil de Pelotas
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
17.4%
Win probability
Portuguesa
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%