Braganca vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
39
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
DUM
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PEV
2 - 0
VIL
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SMA
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |