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League Two. Matchday 15

Bradford City vs Cheltenham Town analysis

Bradford City Cheltenham Town
29 ELO 16
-11% Tilt 40%
4259º General ELO ranking 4432º
620º Country ELO ranking 623º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Bradford City
26%
Draw
39.5%
Cheltenham Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
Bradford City
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.5%
Win probability
Cheltenham Town
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bradford City
-12%
+33%
Cheltenham Town

Basic stats

47
53
POS
10
13
SOT
2
4
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
29
16
ELO
1.3
1.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bradford City
Their league position
Cheltenham Town
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
21º
15º
82
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cheltenham Town
82
82
100%
Cambridge United
80
80
100%
Bolton Wanderers
79
79
100%
Morecambe
78
78
100%
Newport County
73
73
33%
Forest Green Rovers
73
73
33%
Tranmere Rovers
73
73
33%
Salford City
71
71
100%
Exeter City
70
70
100%
Carlisle United
10º
66
66
10º
100%
Leyton Orient
11º
61
61
11º
50%
Crawley Town
12º
61
61
12º
50%
Port Vale
13º
60
60
13º
50%
Stevenage
14º
60
60
14º
50%
Bradford City
15º
59
59
15º
100%
Mansfield Town
16º
58
58
16º
100%
Harrogate Town
17º
57
57
17º
100%
Oldham Athletic AFC
18º
54
54
18º
100%
Walsall
19º
53
53
19º
100%
Colchester United
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Barrow
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Scunthorpe United
22º
48
48
22º
100%
Southend United
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Grimsby Town
24º
43
43
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bradford City
Cheltenham Town
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cheltenham Town
CHE
Bradford City
BRA
Carlisle United
CUM
Exeter City
EXE
Salford City
SAL
Stevenage
THE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bradford City
Bradford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2020
BRA
Bradford City
1 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
46%
27%
27%
400 418 -18 -12
24 Nov. 2020
THE
Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
47%
27%
26%
400 415 15 -2
21 Nov. 2020
SAL
Salford City
3 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
39%
28%
34%
403 208 -195 -3
14 Nov. 2020
BRA
Bradford City
2 - 2
Exeter City
EXE
46%
27%
27%
403 469 -66 0
07 Nov. 2020
TON
Tonbridge Angels
0 - 7
Bradford City
BRA
41%
28%
31%
377 250 -127 +27

Matches

Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2020
CHE
Cheltenham Town
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
39%
28%
33%
258 552 -294 +16
24 Nov. 2020
CHE
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Cambridge United
CAM
44%
27%
29%
256 355 -99 0
21 Nov. 2020
CHE
Cheltenham Town
3 - 0
Walsall
WAL
46%
27%
27%
254 296 -42 +3
14 Nov. 2020
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 2
Cheltenham Town
CHE
47%
27%
26%
252 400 148 +2
07 Nov. 2020
CHE
Cheltenham Town
3 - 1
South Shields
SOU
25%
25%
50%
222 1180 -958 +31