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Conference North. Matchday 30

Brackley Town vs Gloucester City analysis

Brackley Town Gloucester City
19 ELO 13
1% Tilt 24%
8580º General ELO ranking 7381º
202º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Brackley Town
26.5%
Draw
32.1%
Gloucester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
Brackley Town
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
Gloucester City
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brackley Town
+28%
+19%
Gloucester City

Points and table prediction

Brackley Town
Their league position
Gloucester City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
44
22º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Telford United
85
85
100%
North Ferriby United
82
82
100%
Altrincham
81
81
100%
Hednesford Town
78
78
50%
Guiseley
78
78
50%
Boston United
72
72
100%
Brackley Town
67
67
100%
Solihull Moors
65
65
100%
Harrogate Town
63
63
100%
Bradford Park Avenue
10º
57
57
10º
100%
Barrow
11º
56
56
11º
100%
Colwyn Bay
12º
55
55
12º
100%
Leamington
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Stockport County
14º
50
50
14º
50%
Worcester City
15º
50
50
15º
50%
Gainsborough Trinity
16º
45
45
16º
100%
Gloucester City
17º
44
44
17º
50%
Vauxhall Motors
18º
44
44
18º
50%
Stalybridge Celtic
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Oxford City
20º
37
37
20º
100%
Histon
21º
32
32
21º
100%
Workington
22º
28
28
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brackley Town
Gloucester City
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gloucester City
THE
Brackley Town
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
Histon
HIS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brackley Town
Brackley Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2014
WOR
Workington
0 - 3
Brackley Town
BRA
41%
28%
31%
258 181 -77 +1
08 Mar. 2014
BRA
Brackley Town
1 - 2
Altrincham
ALT
49%
26%
25%
259 127 132 -1
01 Mar. 2014
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 2
Harrogate Town
TOW
47%
27%
26%
259 216 43 0
25 Feb. 2014
BRA
Brackley Town
1 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
47%
27%
26%
260 170 90 -1
22 Feb. 2014
STA
Stalybridge Celtic
1 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
41%
28%
32%
260 138 -122 0

Matches

Gloucester City
Gloucester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO THE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2014
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
3 - 3
Gloucester City
THE
46%
27%
28%
188 142 -46 0
08 Mar. 2014
THE
Gloucester City
2 - 0
Stockport County
STO
45%
27%
28%
187 176 11 +1
04 Mar. 2014
THE
Gloucester City
2 - 0
Histon
HIS
45%
27%
28%
186 173 13 +1
01 Mar. 2014
SOL
Solihull Moors
2 - 1
Gloucester City
THE
46%
27%
27%
187 185 -2 -1
25 Feb. 2014
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 1
Gloucester City
THE
46%
27%
27%
187 177 -10 0