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Denmark Third Division. Matchday 16

Brabrand Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
11 ELO 28
19% Tilt 22%
7561º General ELO ranking 3866º
63º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Brabrand
24.9%
Draw
35.3%
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
Brabrand
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.3%
Win probability
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brabrand
+24%
-2%
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus

Basic stats

3
0
GF
0
3
GC
11
28
ELO
1.5
1.4
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Brabrand
Their league position
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Jammerbugt
60
60
100%
B93
53
53
100%
Aarhus Fremad
46
46
100%
Middelfart
43
43
50%
Thisted
43
43
50%
Brabrand
41
41
100%
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
39
39
50%
Frem 1886
39
39
50%
Dalum
33
33
100%
Næsby BK
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Holbæk
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Sydvest
12º
24
24
12º
100%
SfB-Oure
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Holstebro
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brabrand
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
Brabrand
BRA
Frem 1886
FRE
Middelfart
MID
Jammerbugt
JAM
B93
B93
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brabrand
Brabrand
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
DAL
Dalum
0 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
51%
26%
23%
161 374 213 +1
13 Mar. 2021
BRA
Brabrand
2 - 1
Holstebro
HOL
47%
27%
26%
160 55 105 +1
19 Feb. 2021
JAM
Jammerbugt
7 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
53%
25%
22%
204 410 206 -44
21 Nov. 2020
HOL
Holbæk
3 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
46%
27%
28%
206 178 -28 -2
01 Apr. 2021
BRA
Brabrand
0 - 0
Jammerbugt
JAM
39%
28%
33%
206 398 -192 0

Matches

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO SKI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
HOL
Holbæk
0 - 2
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
40%
28%
32%
352 121 -231 +2
13 Mar. 2021
SKI
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1 - 2
Middelfart
MID
47%
27%
26%
353 224 129 -1
13 Feb. 2021
JAM
Jammerbugt
1 - 1
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
47%
27%
26%
351 412 61 +2
23 Jan. 2021
SKI
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
2 - 1
Thisted
THI
47%
27%
26%
329 231 98 +23
21 Nov. 2020
SKI
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
3 - 1
B93
B93
41%
28%
31%
327 418 -91 +2