Olímpia FC vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 0
OLI
53%
22%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAU
2 - 3
OLI
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 5
GSP
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | -1 |