Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 0-4
Boyacá Chicó vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ONC
3 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
CHI
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
18%
28%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 0
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAL
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
MIL
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
CHI
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |