Boyacá Chicó vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 0
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
RSC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ORS
4 - 4
CHI
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 2
FOR
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
RSC
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |