Non League Div One Isthmian Norte round 37

Bowers and Pitsea vs Walthamstow analysis

Bowers and Pitsea Walthamstow
40 ELO 32
-5.3% Tilt -2.5%
6588º General ELO ranking 16371º
334º Country ELO ranking 538º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Bowers and Pitsea
18.1%
Draw
13.8%
Walthamstow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
Bowers and Pitsea
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
Walthamstow
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bowers and Pitsea
-39%
+36%
Walthamstow

Points and table prediction

Bowers and Pitsea
Their league position
Walthamstow
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
16º
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lowestoft Town
78
82
92.5%
Bury Town
74
78
46.5%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
74
78
29.5%
Bowers and Pitsea
73
77
28.5%
Brentwood Town
72
76
54.5%
Walthamstow
62
65
53.5%
Heybridge Swifts
60
63
42.5%
Brightlingsea Regent
57
60
49.5%
Basildon United
52
55
28.5%
Gorleston
10º
50
53
10º
33.5%
East Thurrock United FC
20º
0
53
11º
3%
Maldon & Tiptree
11º
49
52
12º
28.5%
Wroxham
12º
48
51
13º
34%
Redbridge
13º
47
50
14º
37%
Witham Town
14º
45
48
15º
52.5%
New Salamis
15º
35
38
16º
69%
Grays Athletic
16º
33
36
17º
66.5%
Ipswich Wanderers
17º
29
30
18º
89%
Enfield FC
18º
22
22
19º
97.5%
Stowmarket Town
19º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bowers and Pitsea
Walthamstow
Promotion
0.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
98.5% 0%
Mid-table
1% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bowers and Pitsea
Walthamstow
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bowers and Pitsea
Bowers and Pitsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
1 - 2
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
14%
19%
66%
41 25 16 0
09 Apr. 2024
BRE
Brentwood Town
1 - 3
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
44%
26%
31%
40 40 0 +1
06 Apr. 2024
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
1 - 0
Enfield FC
ENF
85%
11%
4%
40 17 23 0
01 Apr. 2024
GRA
Grays Athletic
0 - 2
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
18%
20%
62%
39 25 14 +1
30 Mar. 2024
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
3 - 2
New Salamis
NSA
76%
15%
9%
39 24 15 0

Matches

Walthamstow
Walthamstow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
1 - 1
Bury Town
BUR
26%
23%
51%
30 40 10 0
09 Apr. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
5 - 1
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
34%
25%
41%
28 34 6 +2
06 Apr. 2024
STO
Stowmarket Town
0 - 3
Walthamstow
WAL
12%
18%
70%
27 15 12 +1
01 Apr. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
1 - 0
Enfield FC
ENF
76%
15%
9%
27 17 10 0
30 Mar. 2024
WHI
Witham Town
3 - 0
Walthamstow
WAL
36%
23%
41%
29 25 4 -2