Non League Premier Isthmian. Jor. 3

Bowers and Pitsea vs Herne Bay analysis

Bowers and Pitsea Herne Bay
25 ELO 31
3.8% Tilt -5.3%
6268º General ELO ranking 7628º
315º Country ELO ranking 409º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Bowers and Pitsea
23.1%
Draw
41.8%
Herne Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
Bowers and Pitsea
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.8%
Win probability
Herne Bay
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bowers and Pitsea
+14%
+17%
Herne Bay

Points and table prediction

Bowers and Pitsea
Their league position
Herne Bay
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
17º
22º
19º
34
22º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bishops Stortford
86
86
100%
AFC Hornchurch
82
82
100%
Canvey Island
82
82
100%
Aveley
76
76
100%
Cray Wanderers
74
74
100%
Lewes
72
72
100%
Enfield Town
70
70
100%
Horsham
70
70
100%
Hastings United
69
69
100%
Billericay Town
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Haringey Borough
14º
51
51
13º
0%
Potters Bar Town
13º
51
51
14º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Wingate & Finchley
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Margate
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Kingstonian
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Bowers and Pitsea
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Herne Bay
20º
34
34
20º
100%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
27
27
21º
100%
Brightlingsea Regent
22º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bowers and Pitsea
Herne Bay
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bowers and Pitsea
Herne Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bowers and Pitsea
Bowers and Pitsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2022
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
0 - 2
Margate
MAR
33%
24%
43%
27 35 8 0
13 Aug. 2022
COR
Corinthian-Casuals
4 - 1
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
55%
23%
22%
28 35 7 -1
02 Aug. 2022
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
1 - 5
Concord Rangers
CON
29%
24%
47%
29 37 8 -1
23 Jul. 2022
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
2 - 1
Canvey Island
CAN
29%
24%
47%
28 36 8 +1
12 Jul. 2022
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
2 - 0
Tilbury
TIL
51%
23%
26%
28 25 3 0

Matches

Herne Bay
Herne Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2022
HAR
Haringey Borough
2 - 4
Herne Bay
HER
44%
23%
33%
30 27 3 0
14 Aug. 2022
POT
Potters Bar Town
1 - 0
Herne Bay
HER
35%
24%
41%
31 27 4 -1
02 Aug. 2022
SIT
Sittingbourne
2 - 1
Herne Bay
HER
22%
24%
54%
32 22 10 -1
30 Apr. 2022
ASH
Ashford United
0 - 2
Herne Bay
HER
53%
22%
25%
30 34 4 +2
26 Apr. 2022
HER
Herne Bay
3 - 3
Haywards Heath Town
HAY
51%
24%
26%
30 29 1 0
X