Bovingdon vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AFD
0 - 0
WAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
AFD
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AFD
1 - 1
THA
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BED
2 - 0
AFD
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AFD
5 - 1
FCR
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |