Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Feurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
37
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 4
LIM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AIX
1 - 1
BOU
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
SAE
52%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
BOU
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
HAL
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Feurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FEU
0 - 0
VAU
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 2
FEU
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 0
CHA
31%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AIX
2 - 2
FEU
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEU
0 - 0
SAE
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |