Boulder II vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
TUC
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
TUC
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
TUC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SDZ
0 - 2
TUC
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
CRS
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |