Botswana Defence Force XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 2
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 3
ORA
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
SES
1 - 1
UHM
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 3
SES
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
BLF
1 - 1
SES
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SES
2 - 3
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |