Botev Novi Pazar vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KUB
3 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 2
DOR
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ECB
0 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LUD
2 - 0
DVE
87%
11%
3%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SEP
0 - 1
LUD
8%
19%
73%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KUB
0 - 1
LUD
12%
20%
67%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 2
LUD
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LUD
9 - 1
ECB
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 18 | 50 | 0 |