Carioca 1 Copa Río. Final
Global 1-1
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAD
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 2
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 3
VAS
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +2 |