Botafogo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
GOI
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 1
FOR
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVA
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
AVA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
JUV
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |