Botafogo PB vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLO
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOT
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAY
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
BOT
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
TOM
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
TOM
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
JAC
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
TOM
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |