Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 0
BOT
25%
30%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOM
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
JAC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |