Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 1
BOT
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
BOT
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
DPB
1 - 4
BOT
10%
16%
74%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PES
1 - 1
NAU
10%
20%
70%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
NAU
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAU
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 0
SPO
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |