Botafogo PB vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
JAC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
TOM
26%
30%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
FLO
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VOL
5 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |