Botafogo DF vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
BDF
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
CEI
39%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
CEI
68%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |