Série D Brazil Round 4

Botafogo DF vs Ceilândia analysis

Botafogo DF Ceilândia
40 ELO 50
-10.1% Tilt 4.1%
28828º General ELO ranking 3158º
870º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
30.1%
Botafogo DF
26.9%
Draw
42.9%
Ceilândia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
Botafogo DF
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.9%
Win probability
Ceilândia
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Botafogo DF
Ceilândia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo DF
Botafogo DF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2010
CEI
Ceilândia
2 - 2
Botafogo DF
BDF
67%
19%
14%
40 50 10 0
25 Jul. 2010
BRA
Brasília
2 - 1
Botafogo DF
BDF
72%
18%
11%
40 52 12 0
21 Jul. 2010
BDF
Botafogo DF
0 - 0
Araguaína
ARA
60%
22%
18%
41 35 6 -1
21 Mar. 2010
DOM
Real Brasília
0 - 2
Botafogo DF
BDF
63%
20%
17%
40 49 9 +1
13 Mar. 2010
BDF
Botafogo DF
1 - 0
Ceilandense
CEI
39%
25%
35%
39 43 4 +1

Matches

Ceilândia
Ceilândia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2010
CEI
Ceilândia
2 - 2
Botafogo DF
BDF
67%
19%
14%
50 40 10 0
27 Jul. 2010
ARA
Araguaína
2 - 1
Ceilândia
CEI
21%
26%
54%
51 35 16 -1
18 Jul. 2010
CEI
Ceilândia
2 - 0
Brasília
BRA
38%
26%
36%
51 54 3 0
01 May. 2010
BRA
Brasiliense
2 - 2
Ceilândia
CEI
68%
19%
12%
51 62 11 0
24 Apr. 2010
CEI
Ceilândia
3 - 1
Brasiliense
BRA
21%
23%
56%
50 63 13 +1