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Conference North. Matchday 35

Boston United Southport
31 ELO 32
38% Tilt 110%
4540º General ELO ranking 4200º
571º Country ELO ranking 558º
ELO win probability
35.9%
Boston United
20.5%
Draw
43.6%
Southport

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
Boston United
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
43.6%
Win probability
Southport
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boston United
+34%
-9%
Southport

Points and table prediction

Boston United
Their league position
Southport
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
16
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gloucester City
35
75
9%
Fylde
30
75
10%
Chester
28
74
14%
Brackley Town
27
63
5%
Kidderminster Harriers
25
63
5%
Boston United
23
71
5%
Chorley
23
57
14º
5%
York City
22
69
4%
Leamington
22
59
10º
4%
Gateshead
10º
21
54
15º
5%
Farsley
11º
21
53
16º
4%
Hereford
12º
20
61
4%
Spennymoor Town
13º
20
63
5%
AFC Telford United
14º
19
47
18º
5%
Bradford Park Avenue
15º
18
57
13º
4%
Curzon Ashton
16º
17
45
19º
5%
Southport
17º
16
50
17º
5%
Kettering Town
18º
15
57
12º
5%
Darlington FC
19º
13
58
11º
5%
Guiseley
20º
12
45
20º
6%
Alfreton Town
21º
12
41
21º
7%
Blyth Spartans
22º
6
29
22º
14%
Expected probabilities
Boston United
Southport
Champion
7% 4%
Promotion playoffs
36% 23%
Mid-table
51% 62%
Relegation
6% 11%

ELO progression

Boston United
THE
Southport
SOU
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
Brackley Town
BRA
AFC Telford United
THE
Farsley
FAR
Next opponents in ELO points