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Conference North. Matchday 20

Boston United Hereford
31 ELO 8
39% Tilt 29%
4140º General ELO ranking 9705º
553º Country ELO ranking 653º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Boston United
20%
Draw
20.2%
Hereford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Boston United
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.2%
Win probability
Hereford
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boston United
+34%
+32%
Hereford

Points and table prediction

Boston United
Their league position
Hereford
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
20
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gloucester City
35
76
14%
Fylde
30
75
9%
Chester
28
74
14%
Brackley Town
27
63
5%
Kidderminster Harriers
25
63
5%
Boston United
23
71
5%
Chorley
23
56
14º
4%
York City
22
69
5%
Leamington
22
59
10º
4%
Gateshead
10º
21
54
15º
5%
Farsley
11º
21
53
16º
4%
Hereford
12º
20
61
4%
Spennymoor Town
13º
20
63
5%
AFC Telford United
14º
19
47
18º
5%
Bradford Park Avenue
15º
18
57
13º
4%
Curzon Ashton
16º
17
45
20º
5%
Southport
17º
16
50
17º
5%
Kettering Town
18º
15
57
12º
5%
Darlington FC
19º
13
58
11º
5%
Guiseley
20º
12
45
19º
5%
Alfreton Town
21º
12
41
21º
7%
Blyth Spartans
22º
6
29
22º
14%
Expected probabilities
Boston United
Hereford
Champion
8% 5%
Promotion playoffs
34% 28%
Mid-table
52% 59%
Relegation
6% 8%

ELO progression

Boston United
THE
Hereford
HER
Curzon Ashton
CUR
Gateshead
GAT
Alfreton Town
THE
York City
YOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boston United
Boston United
1%
X%
2%
ELO THE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2021
THE
Boston United
2 - 2
Kettering Town
KET
49%
26%
25%
395 291 104 0
28 Dec. 2020
FAR
Farsley
0 - 4
Boston United
THE
42%
28%
31%
394 260 -134 +1
26 Dec. 2020
THE
Boston United
2 - 0
Alfreton Town
THE
51%
25%
23%
393 230 163 +1
12 Dec. 2020
THE
Boston United
0 - 0
Chester
CHE
41%
28%
31%
393 473 -80 0
08 Dec. 2020
BLY
Blyth Spartans
0 - 1
Boston United
THE
42%
27%
31%
392 235 -157 +1

Matches

Hereford
Hereford
1%
X%
2%
ELO HER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2021
HER
Hereford
2 - 0
Brackley Town
BRA
39%
28%
33%
137 419 -282 0
02 Jan. 2021
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
1 - 1
Hereford
HER
46%
27%
27%
137 121 -16 0
28 Dec. 2020
LEA
Leamington
0 - 0
Hereford
HER
46%
27%
28%
137 97 -40 0
26 Dec. 2020
HER
Hereford
3 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
45%
27%
28%
136 122 14 +1
12 Dec. 2020
HER
Hereford
2 - 1
Fylde
FYL
40%
28%
32%
135 369 -234 +1