National League North . Jor. 16

Boston United vs Chester analysis

Boston United Chester
41 ELO 43
16% Tilt -4.5%
3658º General ELO ranking 2949º
129º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Boston United
23.2%
Draw
31.1%
Chester

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
Boston United
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.1%
Win probability
Chester
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boston United
+17%
-10%
Chester

Points and table prediction

Boston United
Their league position
Chester
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
13º
24º
16º
81
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fylde
93
93
100%
Kings Lynn Town
91
91
100%
Chester
81
84
100%
Alfreton Town
69
69
0%
Brackley Town
69
69
26.5%
Scarborough Athletic
68
68
52.5%
Chorley
67
67
0%
Buxton
67
67
0%
Kidderminster Harriers
11º
66
67
100%
Gloucester City
66
66
10º
100%
Curzon Ashton
10º
66
66
11º
0%
Spennymoor Town
12º
66
66
12º
0%
Darlington FC
13º
64
65
13º
100%
Peterborough Sports
14º
57
58
14º
100%
Hereford
15º
55
56
15º
100%
Boston United
16º
54
54
16º
100%
Banbury United
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Southport
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Farsley Celtic
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Kettering Town
20º
49
50
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
47
48
21º
100%
Bradford Park Avenue
22º
47
47
22º
100%
Leamington
23º
46
46
23º
100%
AFC Telford United
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Boston United
Chester
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Boston United
Chester
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boston United
Boston United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2022
BRA
Brackley Town
1 - 0
Boston United
BOS
57%
25%
19%
42 49 7 0
22 Oct. 2022
BOS
Boston United
0 - 1
Curzon Ashton
CUR
55%
23%
23%
42 42 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
BOS
Boston United
2 - 4
Hereford
HER
60%
22%
19%
43 42 1 -1
04 Oct. 2022
BOS
Boston United
3 - 4
Basford United
BAS
72%
17%
11%
44 34 10 -1
27 Sep. 2022
FAR
Farsley Celtic
0 - 2
Boston United
BOS
18%
23%
59%
43 29 14 +1

Matches

Chester
Chester
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2022
CHE
Chester
1 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
48%
24%
28%
42 42 0 0
22 Oct. 2022
CHE
Chester
4 - 0
Kettering Town
KET
53%
23%
24%
41 38 3 +1
18 Oct. 2022
CHE
Chester
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
44%
25%
32%
41 42 1 0
15 Oct. 2022
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Chester
CHE
49%
22%
28%
41 42 1 0
08 Oct. 2022
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
46%
25%
30%
42 43 1 -1
X