Boston River vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
CSY
2 - 2
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
BOS
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
REN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |