Boston River vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
7º
5º
22
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 36 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 28 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 26 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 22 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 21 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 12 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 11 |
16º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 2
BOS
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 1
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
BOS
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 0
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |