Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs. 1/16
Global 1-2
Boston River vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 3
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 0
BOS
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
DEF
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAM
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAN
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
GOD
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |