B. Dortmund vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 1
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
PAD
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
AUG
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MON
4 - 2
BVB
26%
22%
52%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 3
EIN
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 1
HOF
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 0
KOL
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
HER
0 - 3
HOF
25%
22%
52%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 0
ARB
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |