B. Dortmund vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AUG
2 - 3
BVB
9%
16%
75%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BVB
0 - 2
LEV
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SVS
1 - 4
BVB
3%
10%
86%
|
93 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
BYM
12%
17%
70%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 0
BVB
34%
23%
43%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 4
KAI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 0
MON
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 0
SCF
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 2
SCF
8%
18%
74%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SCF
1 - 1
STO
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |