Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
B. Dortmund vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STU
2 - 3
BVB
14%
18%
68%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
BVB
72%
16%
13%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 2
EIN
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
LEE
85%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
BVB
72%
16%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |