B. Dortmund vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
OSN
3 - 2
BVB
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
LEV
1 - 1
BVB
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BVB
2 - 0
RTV
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
BVB
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BVB
0 - 1
S04
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
HER
0 - 0
WOL
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
SCH
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCN
3 - 0
HER
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
HSV
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SCP
1 - 0
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |