Super Cup . Final

B. Dortmund vs Bayern München analysis

B. Dortmund Bayern München
91 ELO 96
6.5% Tilt 34.3%
18º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.4%
B. Dortmund
16.8%
Draw
68.8%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
B. Dortmund
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.8%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Dortmund
-1%
-6%
Bayern München

ELO progression

B. Dortmund
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Dortmund
B. Dortmund
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
5 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
57%
21%
22%
90 86 4 0
07 Aug. 2021
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
0 - 3
B. Dortmund
BVB
2%
9%
89%
90 62 28 0
30 Jul. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 0
Bologna
BOL
82%
13%
6%
90 75 15 0
24 Jul. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
0 - 2
Athletic
ATH
64%
20%
16%
90 86 4 0
17 Jul. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 3
VfL Bochum
RTV
80%
13%
7%
90 75 15 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2021
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
6%
12%
82%
96 86 10 0
31 Jul. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 3
Napoli
NAP
78%
14%
8%
95 89 6 +1
28 Jul. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 2
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
84%
11%
5%
96 85 11 -1
24 Jul. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
78%
13%
8%
96 88 8 0
17 Jul. 2021
KOL
Köln
3 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
1%
6%
93%
96 76 20 0
X