B. Dortmund vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BVB
3 - 0
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCN
1 - 1
BVB
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
BVB
2 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OBE
0 - 3
BVB
12%
21%
66%
|
91 | 44 | 47 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
51%
22%
27%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |