B. Dortmund vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BJK
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
70%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 4
BVB
23%
21%
56%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
HOF
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 3
BYM
14%
17%
69%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SLP
3 - 1
FCU
51%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCU
0 - 0
AUG
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 2
FCU
4%
12%
85%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
FCU
0 - 0
KUO
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |