B. Dortmund vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
ING
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 3
BVB
7%
14%
80%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVB
33%
22%
45%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
M05
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 3
PAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STU
0 - 2
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
HOF
5 - 0
KOL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
SGF
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
KOL
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |