Serie D Grupo A. Jor. 16

Borgosesia vs Derthona analysis

Borgosesia Derthona
24 ELO 35
-13.4% Tilt -11%
9796º General ELO ranking 8493º
337º Country ELO ranking 287º
ELO win probability
21.9%
Borgosesia
23.3%
Draw
54.9%
Derthona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
Borgosesia
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.9%
Win probability
Derthona
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Borgosesia
-68%
-37%
Derthona

Points and table prediction

Borgosesia
Their league position
Derthona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
19º
41
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestri Levante
91
94
100%
Sanremese
73
76
83.5%
AS Bra
71
74
83.5%
Vado FC
69
69
100%
Ligorna
64
64
100%
ASD Asti
56
59
44.5%
AC Legnano
57
58
25.5%
Gozzano
55
56
58%
Borgosesia
52
52
96.5%
Castellanzese
10º
46
47
10º
58.5%
Chieri
11º
46
46
11º
55.5%
Fezzanese
12º
45
45
12º
23%
PDHAE
13º
44
45
13º
40%
Derthona
15º
41
44
14º
48%
Pinerolo
14º
42
42
15º
60.5%
Chisola Calcio
16º
41
41
16º
85%
Castanese
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Stresa
18º
33
33
18º
100%
Casale
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Fossano Calcio
20º
13
13
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Borgosesia
Derthona
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 60.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 39.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Borgosesia
Derthona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Borgosesia
Borgosesia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
FEZ
Fezzanese
1 - 0
Borgosesia
BOR
42%
25%
33%
25 25 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
BOR
Borgosesia
2 - 1
Chisola Calcio
CCA
62%
20%
18%
24 19 5 +1
13 Nov. 2022
GOZ
Gozzano
1 - 0
Borgosesia
BOR
62%
21%
17%
25 35 10 -1
06 Nov. 2022
BOR
Borgosesia
1 - 1
ASD Asti
AST
32%
24%
44%
25 31 6 0
29 Oct. 2022
STR
Stresa
1 - 2
Borgosesia
BOR
42%
23%
36%
24 22 2 +1

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
DER
Derthona
0 - 0
Castellanzese
CAS
39%
24%
37%
35 35 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
DER
Derthona
1 - 1
ASD Asti
AST
56%
22%
22%
35 31 4 0
13 Nov. 2022
CCA
Chisola Calcio
2 - 3
Derthona
DER
17%
20%
63%
34 19 15 +1
06 Nov. 2022
DER
Derthona
3 - 0
Castanese
CAS
51%
22%
27%
33 30 3 +1
02 Nov. 2022
CAS
Casale
0 - 1
Derthona
DER
49%
27%
24%
32 38 6 +1
X