Borgaro Nobis vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SET
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 3
SES
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACQ
1 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 4
CHI
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GOZ
5 - 0
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |