Bordj Bou Arreridj vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bordj Bou Arreridj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
BBA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BBA
2 - 1
TLE
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
BBA
65%
22%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
BBA
0 - 0
CAB
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
USM
2 - 0
BBA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
USM
2 - 0
CAB
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
USM
43%
29%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
EUL
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
CCS
0 - 5
USM
8%
18%
73%
|
75 | 8 | 67 | 0 |